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Myth Buster 101, Pt.4 – (2) Will tax credit get it?

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2) “Myth:   The federal government should provide a flat tax credit for all Americans who buy insurance, with no qualifying restrictions.”

“Truth: A badly designed tax credit plan could actually cause costs to rise for most families and increase the number of uninsured by ignoring low-income and high-risk individuals.”

There are several problems with this approach. As Mr. Kazanjian explains, a flat tax assumes ceteras parabus (all other things being equal). This is an extreme oversight.

  •  Just one health insurance annual premium can range from $2,000 to over $60,000 per year.
     
  •  Because extreme income disparities can range from $0.00 to $300,000,000 per year, 10’s of millions would still be without health insurance.
     
  •  Because of extreme differences in need, some would not be effected by not having health insurance, while 10’s of thousands would be dying.
     
  •  Because so many low income households would be without health insurance, ‘free-riding’ (as Mr. Romney calls it) would be rampant. ‘Free-riding’ happens when people with no health insurance, little money and nowhere else to go, show up at the ER for required treatment. The loss to medical providers is in the ten’s of billions of dollars.
     
  • Those without work or with insufficient wages to owe the flat amount in taxes may get little, or no credit at all.

As to denying employer-based insurance incentives, the experts at the ‘Center’ have determined that the numbers of those without health insurance would, almost certainly, dramatically increase. Neither will this drive down the cost of private health insurance, as the demand curve will move up, fixing the supply curve intersect at a much higher elastic cost (as do fuel costs now. People will be in greater need for new policies, with no few good alternatives). Remember, the low-cost risk-sharing pools are going away. The summary offered by the ‘Center’ is “Encouraging tax equity over these other important considerations will do little more than create a larger uninsured population.”

 Continued…

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