Health Insurance Fear vs. Other Fears, Pt.7 –- No
Single-payer
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Note that this is still not a single-payer plan. The still
large private health insurance market will need to respond to
this threat. They will, presumably, respond in kind, but in the
opposite direction. They will most-likely try to shift costs
back to the HCA by only providing health insurance to the young
and healthy at advantageous prices, but pressure the sicker and
older individuals into the government options. If this should
happen, the risk pool in the HCA will grow expensive. The
public health insurance premiums will have to rise
inordinately. Without cutting care, cost savings will be lost
in spite of the government’s efforts. So, from the political
standpoint, a robust version of the Hacker plan would be a huge
stretch. Since the Democrats couldn’t even get the required 60
Senate votes for allowing Medicare Part D to bargain down drug
prices, getting permission to set them centrally is hardly even
thinkable. Even if the Democratic Party was to embrace part of
Hacker’s health insurance version and also achieve several
Senate seats, it would be shaky, at best to build in government
price controls.
Notwithstanding the differences between Hillary’s and
Barack’s health insurance/care proposals concerning who’s to be
covered, both are based on a health insurance/care structure
that is close to Hacker's. For example, both include his new,
"Medicare-like" group market. However, it is noted that neither
has stepped up to explicitly use the group market to set cost
controls. Even though the great concern for cost control is
constantly reverberated by everyone in the picture, Democrats,
Republicans, industry and the general American population at
large, no one dares to commit politically, a viable method.
It’s like avoiding the spot of that one bad tooth with the open
cavity, when eating candy.
Continued…
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