Analyzing the Divergence, Pt.9 – Mr.
Oberlander’s assessment of Mr. McCain’s plan.
Previous…
Noted health economist expert, associate professor of social
medicine and health policy, Jonathan B. Oberlander of UNC at
Chapel Hill provides us with some further insight. He explains
that McCain’s plan does offer “a more flexible, portable
insurance system that makes consumers more mindful of
skyrocketing costs.” One problem, however, is that it does
little to address the actual crisis. That crisis is concerning
those without health insurance, those with inadequate health
insurance and those who can’t get health insurance due to
chronic and pre-existing conditions. As he explains: "Most
people who are uninsured would remain uninsured."
The Brookings Institution, along with other well-respected
research organizations confer on the most-expected outcomes
concerning the crisis that would result from Mr. McCain’s
implementation. From independent studies they have all
concluded that the initial impact would be to cover about 1
million of the 45.7 million now uninsured, in 2009. By 2013,
this figure may rise as high as 5 million. But, as the
increasing health insurance costs far exceed the rate of
inflationary adjustments, the number of those removed from the
uninsured segment will end up falling back to a reduction of
only 1 million covered, leaving 44.7 still with no health
insurance.
With all this in mind, general assessments by the analysts
concur that Mr. McCain’s proposal has little chance of
surviving a Democratic Congress. It has been indicated that the
McCain camp view the health insurance/care crisis as being a
“minor issue” (McCain’s own words).
Certainly this explains the vagueness. What will happen to
health insurance, should Mr. McCain become our next president
is almost indeterminate.
Continued…
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