Focusing On the Big Picture, Pt.1 – Mr. McCain: What we say, what we
do.
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A basic tenet of Mr. McCain’s health insurance proposal is
to replace the employee tax deduction for health insurance with
a tax credit. The good or bad here weighs against which offers
the most. Other things being equal (which they are not),
McCain’s $2,500/$5,000 tax credit would probably be better up
front. The reason is because most people wouldn’t be paying
that much in tax for current health insurance. So they will
save.
As stated, however, other things are not equal here. Three
major changes happen that place heavy implications on the
bottom line:
1) There is very strong agreement that employers will stop
offering health insurance benefits.
2) If rising health insurance premiums costs stay on course
(currently triple the inflation rate), these new taxes will
eventually cost more than the credits offer.
3) If employer health insurance goes away, anyone not young
and healthy will pay through the nose for an individual plan.
Considering point #1: Losing employer-based health
insurance. This is considered by most to be the most radical
change to our health insurance system ever.
Because of our terrible economy for the past 8 years,
employers have already been dropping health insurance at an
unprecedented rate.
With 170 million Americans (according to last US Census)
relying on employer-based health insurance, millions of
families could be displaced out of the only type of health
insurance they have ever known, almost overnight. They will be
faced with daunting choices, trying to balance the cost of the
new risk-based policies against what they perceive will be
adequate coverage for their families.
Continued…
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