Focusing On the Big Picture, Pt.2 – Radical change with no
model to draw from.
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Considering point #2: As the cost of health insurance
premiums continue to rise 3 times faster than inflation, so
will the tax owed rise. The tax will not only levy against what
employees are paying now for health insurance, but also the
employers’ portion. This amount is far greater than most
employees realize. Soon, Americans will be paying more tax on
health insurance then the credits are worth. Tax analysts
estimate this to happen within five years.
Considering point #3: If the risk-sharing goes away, anyone
not young and healthy will get nailed. Risk-sharing pools are
afforded only by general group plans, such as employer health
insurance. Of course the health insurance industry much prefers
only individual risk-assessed plans (underwriting). Their
profit margin is much higher that way.
A few consumers get good deals, some get rotten deals and
some get no deals at all. By pushing millions of consumers over
into such plans, Mr. McCain is showing great favor to the
health insurance industry (a Republican legacy).
Increased demand alone, would have to drive up the cost of
private health insurance. In a capitalistic market, higher
demand has to drive up prices.
With our economy in ruins, the median working-age annual
household income dropping $2,176 since the Bush admin took
power, job loss unprecedented in the last 50 years and a
staggering $700 billion punishment for failure of regulation,
it’s impossible to project the extent of demise in family
health insurance. Again, the move is so radical, without more
research, it tends to be somewhat of a wildcard. We have no
historical models to study what the effects would be.
Continued…
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